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Computer Rating

Strength of Schedule

Nat'l Quality Wins

Conference Standings

Severna Park Falcons (20-0)

Region: MD 3A

State: MD

Coach: Carin Peterson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	vs. Severn School # (12-6)	MD IAAM A	92.4		W	14-	8		0.100
3/24	vs. Towson HS # (14-5)	MD 3A	87.2	9	W	20-	4		0.000
3/25	NORTH COUNTY (1-11)	MD 4A	70.9		W	21-	0		0.000
4/01	at Northeast (3-10)	MD 3A	74.9		W	21-	5		0.000
4/04	at Arundel (11-5)	MD 4A	85.0		W	20-	5		0.000
4/08	ANNAPOLIS (11-6)	MD 3A	82.9		W	18-	4		0.000
4/10	ST. MARY'S, MD (13-8)	MD IAAM A	90.7		W	14-	4		0.050
4/11	CHESAPEAKE, AA COUNTY (8-7)	MD 4A	79.5		W	20-	5		0.000
4/15	at Southern, Anne Arundel (9-7)	MD 2A	79.5		W	18-	3		0.000
4/18	at Broadneck (13-4)	MD 4A	91.1	2	W	18-	9		0.150
4/22	at Glen Burnie (2-10)	MD 4A	72.4		W	20-	1		0.000
4/25	MEADE (1-12)	MD 4A	70.0		W	20-	1		0.000
4/29	at Old Mill (4-10)	MD 4A	77.7		W	22-	0		0.000
5/02	SOUTH RIVER (14-3)	MD 4A	89.1	6	W	26-	8		0.025
5/06	vs. Broadneck # (13-4)	MD 4A	91.1	2	W	14-	8		0.125
5/10	ARUNDEL (11-5)	MD 4A	85.0		W	23-	5		0.000
5/12	SOUTH RIVER (14-3)	MD 4A	89.1	6	W	20-	4		0.025
5/14	BROADNECK (13-4)	MD 4A	91.1	2	W	11-	10	ot	0.100
5/17	vs. Westminster, MD # (13-5)	MD 4A	86.8		W	20-	9		0.000
5/21	vs. Catonsville # (13-7)	MD 3A	84.8		W	17-	6		1.000
# Neutral site			84.5						1.58

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	N	Severn School	14-	8	6	6		0.00		0.36
3/24	N	Towson HS	20-	4	16	10	++	0.00	5.82
3/25	H	North County	21-	0	21	29	–––	-0.99	-8.25
4/01	A	Northeast	21-	5	16	22	––	0.99	-5.93
4/04	A	Arundel	20-	5	15	11	++	0.99	4.44
4/08	H	Annapolis	18-	4	14	14		-0.99	0.36
4/10	H	St. Mary's, MD	14-	4	10	8		-0.77		1.93
4/11	H	Chesapeake, AA County	20-	5	15	19	–	-0.99	-3.64
4/15	A	Southern, Anne Arundel	18-	3	15	18	–	0.99	-2.55
4/18	A	Broadneck	18-	9	9	4	++	0.99	4.94
4/22	A	Glen Burnie	20-	1	19	26	–––	0.99	-6.90
4/25	H	Meade	20-	1	19	30	–––	-0.99	10.59
4/29	A	Old Mill	22-	0	22	17	++	0.99	4.71
5/02	H	South River	26-	8	18	9	+++	-0.99	8.60
5/06	N	Broadneck	14-	8	6	5		0.00	0.95
5/10	H	Arundel	23-	5	18	13	++	-0.99	5.46
5/12	H	South River	20-	4	16	9	+++	-0.99	6.60
5/14	H	Broadneck	11-	10	1	6	––	-0.99	-5.04
5/17	N	Westminster, MD	20-	9	11	10		0.00	1.27
5/21	N	Catonsville	17-	6	11	11		0.00	-0.27
									0.00	2.30

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	N	Towson HS	20-	4	-5.82
3/25	H	North County	21-	0	8.25
4/01	A	Northeast	21-	5	5.93
4/04	A	Arundel	20-	5	-4.44
4/08	H	Annapolis	18-	4	-0.36
4/10	H	St. Mary's, MD	14-	4	0.00
4/11	H	Chesapeake, AA County	20-	5	3.64
4/15	A	Southern, Anne Arundel	18-	3	2.55
4/22	A	Glen Burnie	20-	1	6.90
4/25	H	Meade	20-	1	10.59
4/29	A	Old Mill	22-	0	-4.71
5/02	H	South River	26-	8	-8.00
5/10	H	Arundel	23-	5	-5.46
5/12	H	South River	20-	4	-6.00
5/17	N	Westminster, MD	20-	9	-1.27
5/21	N	Catonsville	17-	6	0.27
10-goal correction: 0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	198.		Natl CCR Rank	3
Natl Poll Vote	100.		Natl Poll Rank	3
Natl Power Rating	98.00		Natl Power Rank	3
Natl SOS Rating	84.97		Natl SOS Rank	31
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.58		Natl Quality Win Rank	46
W-L Pct Rating	1.00		W-L Pct Rank	11
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	20-0		Ave Goal diff (all )	13.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	5.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	6-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	11.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	11-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	12.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.7


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