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St. Francis, CA Troubies (16-0)

Region: CA SJS

State: CA

Coach: Kristy Wilson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/04	at Clayton Valley (6-13)	CA BSAL	66.9		W	15-	7		0.100
3/08	at Sacred Heart Prep, CA (4-14)	CA WBAL	64.3		W	16-	12		0.050
3/11	DAVIS (7-11)	CA BSAL	71.5		W	14-	6		0.125
3/14	at Marin Catholic (13-9)	CA MCAL	73.5		W	9-	8	ot	0.250
3/25	GRANITE BAY (0-7)	CA SJS	57.4		W	17-	4		0.000
4/01	NOVATO (4-9)	CA MCAL	64.2		W	11-	1		0.000
4/08	at Oak Ridge (11-5)	CA Indep	70.1		W	13-	6		0.100
4/11	SONOMA ACADEMY (1-6)	CA MCAL	62.9		W	17-	4		0.000
4/15	at Bella Vista (10-8)	CA SJS	67.1		W	18-	4		0.050
4/19	at Bishop O'Dowd (3-13)	CA BSAL	64.6		W	16-	5		0.050
4/22	CHRISTIAN BROTHERS, CA (0-6)	CA SJS	61.6		W	17-	3		0.000
4/26	at Stevenson School (5-9)	CA CCS	63.8		W	14-	5		0.000
4/29	TAMALPAIS (0-8)	CA MCAL	61.5		W	17-	9		0.000
5/01	OAK RIDGE (11-5)	CA Indep	70.1		W	15-	5		0.050
5/03	BELLA VISTA (10-8)	CA SJS	67.1		W	16-	6		0.000
5/06	at Christian Brothers, CA (0-6)	CA SJS	61.6		W	12-	2		0.000
			66.2						0.78

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/04	A	Clayton Valley	15-	7	8	6		1.04	1.65
3/08	A	Sacred Heart Prep, CA	16-	12	4	8	–	1.04	-3.68
3/11	H	Davis	14-	6	8	5	+	-1.04	3.36
3/14	A	Marin Catholic	9-	8	1	0		1.04	0.62
3/25	H	Granite Bay	17-	4	13	17	––	-1.04	-4.12
4/01	H	Novato	11-	1	10	13	–	-1.04	-2.97
4/08	A	Oak Ridge	13-	6	7	6		1.04	1.32
4/11	H	Sonoma Academy	17-	4	13	14		-1.04	-0.52
4/15	A	Bella Vista	18-	4	14	8	+++	1.04	6.19
4/19	A	Bishop O'Dowd	16-	5	11	8	+	1.04	3.17
4/22	H	Christian Brothers, CA	17-	3	14	13		-1.04	0.94
4/26	A	Stevenson School	14-	5	9	11	–	1.04	-2.30
4/29	H	Tamalpais	17-	9	8	13	––	-1.04	-5.02
5/01	H	Oak Ridge	15-	5	10	8	+	-1.04	2.24
5/03	H	Bella Vista	16-	6	10	10		-1.04	0.11
5/06	A	Christian Brothers, CA	12-	2	10	11		1.04	-0.98
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/25	H	Granite Bay	17-	4	4.12
4/01	H	Novato	11-	1	2.97
4/11	H	Sonoma Academy	17-	4	0.52
4/15	A	Bella Vista	18-	4	-4.00
4/19	A	Bishop O'Dowd	16-	5	-1.00
4/22	H	Christian Brothers, CA	17-	3	-0.94
5/01	H	Oak Ridge	15-	5	0.00
5/03	H	Bella Vista	16-	6	-0.11
5/06	A	Christian Brothers, CA	12-	2	0.98
10-goal correction: 0.16

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	469
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.70		Natl Power Rank	469
Natl SOS Rating	54.00		Natl SOS Rank	1632
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.78		Natl Quality Win Rank	262
W-L Pct Rating	1.00		W-L Pct Rank	2
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-0		Ave Goal diff (all )	9.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	10.0

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