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Computer Rating

Strength of Schedule

Nat'l Quality Wins

Conference Standings

Liberty, MD Lions (15-2)

Region: MD 2A

State: MD

Coach: Nikki Jones

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	vs. Catonsville # (13-7)	MD 3A	84.8		W	7-	6		0.150
3/22	vs. Bel Air # (7-8)	MD 3A	82.2		W	13-	2		0.125
3/25	at Francis Scott Key (5-9)	MD 2A	74.0		W	19-	3		0.000
3/27	FREDERICK (2-10)	MD 3A	64.6		W	22-	1		0.000
4/01	at Linganore (6-7)	MD 3A	75.7		W	20-	2		0.000
4/03	at North Carroll (5-10)	MD 3A	79.2		W	11-	3		0.050
4/08	BRUNSWICK, MD (4-9)	MD 1A	69.8		W	18-	1		0.000
4/15	at Catoctin (3-10)	MD 1A	69.2		W	20-	0		0.000
4/18	URBANA (9-6)	MD 3A	81.9		W	19-	4		0.050
4/22	at Smithsburg (9-5)	MD 1A	75.8		W	19-	1		0.000
4/24	SOUTH CARROLL (8-6)	MD 1A	81.1		W	18-	2		0.025
4/29	WINTERS MILL (17-2)	MD 2A	89.1	7	L	11-	12		-0.400
5/01	at Century, MD (12-4)	MD 2A	87.7	8	W	16-	10		0.275
5/05	at Westminster, MD (13-5)	MD 4A	86.8		W	7-	6		0.200
5/10	SMITHSBURG (9-5)	MD 1A	75.8		W	19-	0		0.000
5/13	CENTURY, MD (12-4)	MD 2A	87.7	8	W	13-	9		0.225
5/14	GLENELG HS (16-4)	MD 1A	90.8	3	L	9-	13		-0.200
# Neutral site			80.2						0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	N	Catonsville	7-	6	1	4	–	0.00	-3.43
3/22	N	Bel Air	13-	2	11	5	+++	0.00	6.07
3/25	A	Francis Scott Key	19-	3	16	18	–	0.99	-2.23
3/27	H	Frederick	22-	1	21	29	–––	-0.99	-8.48
4/01	A	Linganore	20-	2	18	15	+	0.99	2.56
4/03	A	North Carroll	11-	3	8	8		0.99	-0.15
4/08	H	Brunswick, MD	18-	1	17	24	–––	-0.99	-7.14
4/15	A	Catoctin	20-	0	20	23	–	0.99	-2.75
4/18	H	Urbana	19-	4	15	8	+++	-0.99	6.59
4/22	A	Smithsburg	19-	1	18	17		0.99	1.32
4/24	H	South Carroll	18-	2	16	9	+++	-0.99	6.54
4/29	H	Winters Mill	11-	12	-1	6	–––	-0.99	-6.75
5/01	A	Century, MD	16-	10	6	-1	+++	0.99	7.30
5/05	A	Westminster, MD	7-	6	1	2		0.99	-0.89
5/10	H	Smithsburg	19-	0	19	19		-0.99	0.33
5/13	H	Century, MD	13-	9	4	1	+	-0.99	3.31
5/14	H	Glenelg HS	9-	13	-4	-2	–	-0.99	-2.19
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/22	N	Bel Air	13-	2	-1.00
3/25	A	Francis Scott Key	19-	3	2.23
3/27	H	Frederick	22-	1	8.48
4/01	A	Linganore	20-	2	-2.56
4/08	H	Brunswick, MD	18-	1	7.14
4/15	A	Catoctin	20-	0	2.75
4/18	H	Urbana	19-	4	-5.00
4/22	A	Smithsburg	19-	1	-1.32
4/24	H	South Carroll	18-	2	-6.00
5/10	H	Smithsburg	19-	0	-0.33
10-goal correction: 0.26

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	186.		Natl CCR Rank	32
Natl Poll Vote	96.		Natl Poll Rank	42
Natl Power Rating	90.37		Natl Power Rank	30
Natl SOS Rating	76.76		Natl SOS Rank	175
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	443
W-L Pct Rating	0.88		W-L Pct Rank	103
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	10.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.3


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