| Conference: FL | Region: NY B Sec 5 | State: NY | Coach: Sue Ellis |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/05 | CORNING EAST (14-7) | NY C Sec 4 | 76.8 | | W | 18- | 6 | | 0.000 |
4/07 | GENEVA (3-16) | NY C Sec 5 | 65.5 | | W | 19- | 4 | | 0.000 |
4/09 | at Palmyra-Macedon, NY (7-12) | NY C Sec 5 | 68.5 | | W | 15- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/10 | NEWARK, NY (4-12) | NY C Sec 5 | 69.3 | | W | 23- | 4 | | 0.000 |
4/17 | at Carthage (18-4) | NY B Sec 3 | 86.9 | | L | 8- | 12 | | -0.325 |
4/19 | RUSH-HENRIETTA (13-7) | NY A Sec 5 | 84.1 | 7 | W | 15- | 8 | | 0.125 |
4/22 | WATERLOO (14-7) | NY C Sec 5 | 79.3 | | W | 21- | 8 | | 0.000 |
4/24 | at Victor (14-5) | NY B Sec 5 | 78.9 | | W | 21- | 5 | | 0.000 |
4/26 | at Penn Yan Academy (12-6) | NY C Sec 5 | 79.1 | | W | 16- | 7 | | 0.025 |
4/28 | at Mynderse Academy (1-16) | NY C Sec 5 | 61.6 | | W | 17- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/01 | FAIRPORT (14-5) | NY A Sec 5 | 84.8 | 5 | W | 20- | 11 | | 0.075 |
5/02 | at Geneva (3-16) | NY C Sec 5 | 65.5 | | W | 21- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/06 | at Marcus Whitman (13-7) | NY C Sec 5 | 77.9 | | W | 17- | 6 | | 0.000 |
5/08 | MIDLAKES (11-9) | NY C Sec 5 | 72.1 | | W | 23- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/10 | PENN YAN ACADEMY (12-6) | NY C Sec 5 | 79.1 | | W | 16- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/12 | at Newark, NY (4-12) | NY C Sec 5 | 69.3 | | W | 20- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/16 | VICTOR (14-5) | NY B Sec 5 | 78.9 | | W | 19- | 5 | | 0.000 |
5/19 | PENFIELD (10-8) | NY A Sec 5 | 83.0 | 8 | W | 23- | 13 | | 0.100 |
5/30 | vs. Irondequoit # (11-4) | NY B Sec 5 | 84.3 | 6 | W | 16- | 12 | | 0.125 |
6/04 | vs. Brighton, NY # (19-2) | NY B Sec 5 | 92.9 | 1 | L | 8- | 14 | | -0.200 |
| # Neutral site | | 79.0 | | | | | | -0.07 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/05 | H | Corning East | 18- | 6 | 12 | 15 | – | -0.86 | | -2.51 |
4/07 | H | Geneva | 19- | 4 | 15 | 20 | –– | -0.78 | -4.92 | |
4/09 | A | Palmyra-Macedon, NY | 15- | 3 | 12 | 19 | ––– | 0.78 | -7.02 | |
4/10 | H | Newark, NY | 23- | 4 | 19 | 18 | | -0.78 | 0.56 | |
4/17 | A | Carthage | 8- | 12 | -4 | 3 | ––– | 0.84 | | -6.71 |
4/19 | H | Rush-Henrietta | 15- | 8 | 7 | 5 | | -0.78 | 1.72 | |
4/22 | H | Waterloo | 21- | 8 | 13 | 11 | | -0.78 | 1.99 | |
4/24 | A | Victor | 21- | 5 | 16 | 11 | ++ | 0.78 | 4.97 | |
4/26 | A | Penn Yan Academy | 16- | 7 | 9 | 9 | | 0.78 | -0.12 | |
4/28 | A | Mynderse Academy | 17- | 1 | 16 | 22 | –– | 0.78 | -5.67 | |
5/01 | H | Fairport | 20- | 11 | 9 | 7 | | -0.78 | 1.55 | |
5/02 | A | Geneva | 21- | 3 | 18 | 18 | | 0.78 | -0.36 | |
5/06 | A | Marcus Whitman | 17- | 6 | 11 | 10 | | 0.78 | 1.40 | |
5/08 | H | Midlakes | 23- | 1 | 22 | 19 | + | -0.78 | 2.98 | |
5/10 | H | Penn Yan Academy | 16- | 3 | 13 | 11 | + | -0.78 | 2.31 | |
5/12 | A | Newark, NY | 20- | 3 | 17 | 17 | | 0.78 | 0.12 | |
5/16 | H | Victor | 19- | 5 | 14 | 13 | | -0.78 | 1.41 | |
5/19 | H | Penfield | 23- | 13 | 10 | 6 | ++ | -0.78 | 4.42 | |
5/30 | N | Irondequoit | 16- | 12 | 4 | 5 | | 0.00 | -1.40 | |
6/04 | N | Brighton, NY | 8- | 14 | -6 | -2 | – | 0.00 | -3.94 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -9.22 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/05 | H | Corning East | 18- | 6 | 2.51 |
4/07 | H | Geneva | 19- | 4 | 4.92 |
4/09 | A | Palmyra-Macedon, NY | 15- | 3 | 7.02 |
4/10 | H | Newark, NY | 23- | 4 | -0.56 |
4/22 | H | Waterloo | 21- | 8 | -1.99 |
4/24 | A | Victor | 21- | 5 | -4.97 |
4/28 | A | Mynderse Academy | 17- | 1 | 5.67 |
5/02 | A | Geneva | 21- | 3 | 0.36 |
5/06 | A | Marcus Whitman | 17- | 6 | -1.40 |
5/08 | H | Midlakes | 23- | 1 | -2.98 |
5/10 | H | Penn Yan Academy | 16- | 3 | -2.31 |
5/12 | A | Newark, NY | 20- | 3 | -0.12 |
5/16 | H | Victor | 19- | 5 | -1.41 |
5/19 | H | Penfield | 23- | 13 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.24 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 187. | | Natl CCR Rank | 25 |
| Natl Poll Vote | 96. | | Natl Poll Rank | 27 |
| Natl Power Rating | 90.44 | | Natl Power Rank | 23 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 74.20 | | Natl SOS Rank | 248 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.07 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1246 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.90 | | W-L Pct Rank | 83 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 18-2 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 11.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 1.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 4-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 4.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 11-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 10.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.7 |
|
