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Computer Rating

Strength of Schedule

Nat'l Quality Wins

Conference Standings

St Mary's Annapolis Saints (13-6)

Region: MD A MIAA

State: MD

Coach: Matt Hogan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/12	ST ALBANS (16-5)	DC IAC	95.8	9	W	5-	3		0.075
3/14	vs. Highland Park # (17-3)	TX 1 North	96.8		W	13-	6		0.200
3/15	vs. Episcopal Dallas # (16-5)	TX 1 North	94.0		W	15-	5		0.125
3/18	ST MARYS RYKEN (11-7)	DC WCAC	94.0		W	10-	2		0.075
3/20	LANDON (18-4)	DC IAC	98.7	7	W	15-	4		0.125
3/25	vs. Fairview # (8-9)	CO Centenn	88.7		W	17-	4		0.000
3/27	vs. Nease # (13-5)	FL 3B Centrl	92.2		W	16-	3		0.075
4/01	at DeMatha (14-5)	DC WCAC	98.0		W	15-	8		0.275
4/04	ARCHBISHOP SPALDING (9-8)	MD A MIAA	95.7		W	17-	5		0.100
4/08	at Calvert Hall (15-3)	MD A MIAA	99.5	2	L	8-	13		-0.150
4/11	MOUNT ST JOSEPH (8-10)	MD A MIAA	94.0		W	18-	8		0.075
4/15	at Boys' Latin (13-7)	MD A MIAA	97.6	8	L	9-	10		-0.275
4/18	LOYOLA-BLAKEFIELD (13-4)	MD A MIAA	99.5	3	L	4-	5		-0.300
4/22	ST PAUL'S (7-10)	MD A MIAA	95.7	10	W	11-	8		0.175
4/29	at Friends (4-12)	MD A MIAA	87.5		W	17-	6		0.000
5/02	at Gilman (18-1)	MD A MIAA	99.9	1	L	10-	12		-0.150
5/06	MCDONOGH (16-6)	MD A MIAA	99.0	5	L	4-	6		-0.300
5/09	at Severn (11-10)	MD A MIAA	95.3		W	11-	10	ot	0.200
5/13	at McDonogh (16-6)	MD A MIAA	99.0	5	L	5-	6	ot	-0.225
# Neutral site			93.6						0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	H	St Albans	5-	3	2	7	––	-1.46	-4.92
3/14	N	Highland Park	13-	6	7	2	++	0.00		4.78
3/15	N	Episcopal Dallas	15-	5	10	5	++	0.00		5.07
3/18	H	St Marys Ryken	10-	2	8	7		-1.59		1.43
3/20	H	Landon	15-	4	11	5	++	-1.46	5.57
3/25	N	Fairview	17-	4	13	10	+	0.00		2.77
3/27	N	Nease	16-	3	13	7	+++	0.00		6.26
4/01	A	DeMatha	15-	8	7	-1	+++	1.59		7.63
4/04	H	Archbishop Spalding	17-	5	12	6	++	-1.46	5.73
4/08	A	Calvert Hall	8-	13	-5	-4		1.46	-0.58
4/11	H	Mount St Joseph	18-	8	10	7	+	-1.46	2.77
4/15	A	Boys' Latin	9-	10	-1	1		1.46	-1.59
4/18	H	Loyola-Blakefield	4-	5	-1	2	–	-1.46	-2.55
4/22	H	St Paul's	11-	8	3	3		-1.46	-0.20
4/29	A	Friends	17-	6	11	12		1.46	-0.70
5/02	A	Gilman	10-	12	-2	-4		1.46	1.87
5/06	H	McDonogh	4-	6	-2	2	–	-1.46	-3.97
5/09	A	Severn	11-	10	1	2		1.46	-1.38
5/13	A	McDonogh	5-	6	-1	-1		1.46	-0.06
									0.00	27.93

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/15	N	Episcopal Dallas	15-	5	0.00
3/20	H	Landon	15-	4	-1.00
3/25	N	Fairview	17-	4	-2.77
3/27	N	Nease	16-	3	-3.00
4/04	H	Archbishop Spalding	17-	5	-2.00
4/11	H	Mount St Joseph	18-	8	0.00
4/29	A	Friends	17-	6	0.70
10-goal correction: -0.42

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	195.		Natl CCR Rank	31
Natl Poll Vote	96.		Natl Poll Rank	37
Natl Power Rating	98.97		Natl Power Rank	29
Natl SOS Rating	95.36		Natl SOS Rank	25
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	1166
W-L Pct Rating	0.68		W-L Pct Rank	641
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7


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