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Computer Rating

Strength of Schedule

Nat'l Quality Wins

Conference Standings

Montgomery Cougars (20-3)

Conference: Bianch

Region: NJ Grp-III

State: NJ

Coach: Tim Sullivan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Hopewell Valley (5-11)	NJ Grp-II	90.7		W	11-	4		0.075
4/05	BRIDGEWATER-RARITAN (10-13)	NJ Grp-IV	96.9		W	8-	3		0.150
4/08	IMMACULATA (12-5)	NJ Grp-B	97.7		W	12-	11	ot	0.225
4/12	VOORHEES (6-14)	NJ Grp-II	89.3		W	15-	2		0.000
4/15	at North Hunterdon (10-10)	NJ Grp-III	93.5		W	11-	3		0.100
4/17	at Princeton HS (5-10)	NJ Grp-II	91.5		W	12-	5		0.100
4/19	at Hunterdon Central (18-4)	NJ Grp-IV	98.4	6	L	7-	12		-0.175
4/22	PENNINGTON (7-10)	NJ Private	89.7		W	14-	6		0.000
4/24	PRINCETON DAY (4-13)	NJ Private	85.3		W	15-	4		0.000
4/26	RIDGE (10-10)	NJ Grp-III	97.0		L	5-	7		-0.350
4/28	at West Windsor-PB No (12-6)	NJ Grp-II	95.4		W	10-	2		0.125
5/02	at Hun School (11-9)	NJ Private	94.4		W	12-	7		0.125
5/05	WATCHUNG HILLS (5-12)	NJ Grp-IV	93.1		W	12-	3		0.075
5/07	NOTRE DAME-TRENTON (4-12)	NJ Grp-A	88.8		W	15-	2		0.000
5/09	at Hillsborough (10-9)	NJ Grp-IV	95.7		W	8-	6		0.175
5/12	RIDGE (10-10)	NJ Grp-III	97.0		W	13-	9		0.150
5/14	at West Windsor-PB So (13-6)	NJ Grp-III	97.1		W	14-	8		0.200
5/16	WATCHUNG HILLS (5-12)	NJ Grp-IV	93.1		W	15-	3		0.075
5/18	vs. Bridgewater-Raritan # (10-13)	NJ Grp-IV	96.9		W	8-	4		0.175
5/20	TOMS RIVER SOUTH (8-8)	NJ Grp-III	87.5		W	14-	1		0.000
5/23	FAIR LAWN (16-6)	NJ Grp-III	95.1		W	18-	5		0.025
5/27	SHAWNEE (18-2)	NJ Grp-III	97.5		W	9-	8		0.125
5/30	vs. Ridgewood # (18-5)	NJ Grp-III	98.6	5	L	7-	12		-0.150
# Neutral site			85.2						1.23

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Hopewell Valley	11-	4	7	7		1.37	-0.36
4/05	H	Bridgewater-Raritan	8-	3	5	4		-1.37	0.84
4/08	H	Immaculata	12-	11	1	1		-1.37	-0.14
4/12	H	Voorhees	15-	2	13	12		-1.37	1.15
4/15	A	North Hunterdon	11-	3	8	6		1.37	1.70
4/17	A	Princeton HS	12-	5	7	6		1.37	0.54
4/19	A	Hunterdon Central	7-	12	-5	-3		1.37	-1.88
4/22	H	Pennington	14-	6	8	12	––	-1.37	-4.01
4/24	H	Princeton Day	15-	4	11	15	––	-1.37	-4.09
4/26	H	Ridge	5-	7	-2	4	–––	-1.37	-6.35
4/28	A	West Windsor-PB No	10-	2	8	5	+	1.37	2.94
5/02	A	Hun School	12-	7	5	5		1.37	0.32
5/05	H	Watchung Hills	12-	3	9	7		-1.37	1.59
5/07	H	Notre Dame-Trenton	15-	2	13	12		-1.37	1.37
5/09	A	Hillsborough	8-	6	2	3		1.37	-1.19
5/12	H	Ridge	13-	9	4	4		-1.37	-0.35
5/14	A	West Windsor-PB So	14-	8	6	2	++	1.37	4.27
5/16	H	Watchung Hills	15-	3	12	7	++	-1.37	4.59
5/18	N	Bridgewater-Raritan	8-	4	4	3		0.00	1.20
5/20	H	Toms River South	14-	1	13	15		-1.37	-1.76
5/23	H	Fair Lawn	18-	5	13	9	++	-1.37	4.47
5/27	H	Shawnee	9-	8	1	5	–	-1.37	-3.93
5/30	N	Ridgewood	7-	12	-5	-4		0.00	-0.92
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/12	H	Voorhees	15-	2	-1.15
4/24	H	Princeton Day	15-	4	4.09
5/07	H	Notre Dame-Trenton	15-	2	-1.37
5/16	H	Watchung Hills	15-	3	-2.00
5/20	H	Toms River South	14-	1	1.76
5/23	H	Fair Lawn	18-	5	-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	98.		Natl CCR Rank	69
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	98.03		Natl Power Rank	62
Natl SOS Rating	76.75		Natl SOS Rank	798
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.23		Natl Quality Win Rank	158
W-L Pct Rating	0.87		W-L Pct Rank	117
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	20-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.0


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