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Computer Rating

Strength of Schedule

Nat'l Quality Wins

Conference Standings

Hamburg Bulldogs (21-2)

Region: NY B Sec 6

State: NY

Coach: Jerry Severino

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/08	at Iroquois (9-9)	NY B Sec 6	89.5		W	14-	2		0.025
4/10	WILLIAMSVILLE NORTH (8-10)	NY A Sec 6	88.4		W	14-	0		0.000
4/15	at Forest Park (15-3)	VA Card	91.4		W	15-	0		0.100
4/17	at Woodbridge (7-8)	VA Card	78.6		W	19-	2		0.000
4/19	at Niagara Wheatfield (15-6)	NY A Sec 6	96.7	3	W	17-	16		0.200
4/23	WEST SENECA EAST (12-9)	NY B Sec 6	92.7	8	W	17-	7		0.000
4/25	at Penn Yan (14-8)	NY C Sec 5	95.1		W	12-	9		0.200
4/29	at Sweet Home (10-9)	NY B Sec 6	90.1		W	17-	2		0.000
5/01	at Williamsville East (12-6)	NY B Sec 6	92.6	9	W	14-	6		0.050
5/03	HONEOYE FALLS-LIMA (8-10)	NY B Sec 5	89.3		W	18-	5		0.000
5/05	at Williamsville South (5-13)	NY B Sec 6	83.5		W	16-	1		0.000
5/07	LAKE SHORE CENTRAL (1-16)	NY B Sec 6	76.6		W	16-	1		0.000
5/10	WEBSTER SCHROEDER (9-9)	NY A Sec 5	94.7		W	16-	15		0.125
5/12	AMHERST (13-5)	NY B Sec 6	96.2	5	W	16-	5		0.100
5/16	GRAND ISLAND (6-11)	NY B Sec 6	86.4		W	17-	3		0.000
5/17	at Canandaigua (23-1)	NY A Sec 5	99.1		L	9-	17		-0.200
5/19	FRONTIER (13-6)	NY A Sec 6	95.7	6	W	13-	8		0.075
5/22	at Canisius (10-10)	NY P Sec 6	90.5		W	17-	5		0.025
5/29	WILLIAMSVILLE SOUTH (5-13)	NY B Sec 6	83.5		W	17-	0		0.000
6/03	IROQUOIS (9-9)	NY B Sec 6	89.5		W	11-	5		0.000
6/06	vs. West Seneca East # (12-9)	NY B Sec 6	92.7	8	W	15-	6		0.025
6/10	vs. Geneva # (16-5)	NY B Sec 5	95.5		W	13-	9		0.175
6/12	vs. Carthage # (21-3)	NY B Sec 3	99.0		L	16-	17		-0.250
# Neutral site			89.1						0.65

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/08	A	Iroquois	14-	2	12	9	+	0.89	2.52
4/10	H	Williamsville North	14-	0	14	13		-0.89	1.00
4/15	A	Forest Park	15-	0	15	6	+++	1.36		9.17
4/17	A	Woodbridge	19-	2	17	19		1.36		-1.63
4/19	A	Niagara Wheatfield	17-	16	1	2		0.89	-0.91
4/23	H	West Seneca East	17-	7	10	10		-0.89	0.45
4/25	A	Penn Yan	12-	9	3	2		1.19		0.67
4/29	A	Sweet Home	17-	2	15	10	++	0.89	4.96
5/01	A	Williamsville East	14-	6	8	8		0.89	-0.36
5/03	H	Honeoye Falls-Lima	18-	5	13	11	+	-1.19		2.49
5/05	A	Williamsville South	16-	1	15	15		0.89	0.26
5/07	H	Lake Shore Central	16-	1	15	25	–––	-0.89	-9.54
5/10	H	Webster Schroeder	16-	15	1	5	––	-1.19		-4.02
5/12	H	Amherst	16-	5	11	6	++	-0.89	5.48
5/16	H	Grand Island	17-	3	14	14		-0.89	-0.28
5/17	A	Canandaigua	9-	17	-8	-2	–––	1.19		-6.33
5/19	H	Frontier	13-	8	5	7	–	-0.89	-2.39
5/22	A	Canisius	17-	5	12	9	+	0.89	3.26
5/29	H	Williamsville South	17-	0	17	17		-0.89	0.48
6/03	H	Iroquois	11-	5	6	11	––	-0.89	-5.27
6/06	N	West Seneca East	15-	6	9	9		0.00	0.34
6/10	N	Geneva	13-	9	4	3		0.00		0.95
6/12	N	Carthage	16-	17	-1	0		0.00		-0.52
									0.00	0.78

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/08	A	Iroquois	14-	2	-2.00
4/10	H	Williamsville North	14-	0	-1.00
4/15	A	Forest Park	15-	0	-5.00
4/17	A	Woodbridge	19-	2	1.63
4/23	H	West Seneca East	17-	7	-0.45
4/29	A	Sweet Home	17-	2	-4.96
5/03	H	Honeoye Falls-Lima	18-	5	-2.49
5/05	A	Williamsville South	16-	1	-0.26
5/07	H	Lake Shore Central	16-	1	9.54
5/12	H	Amherst	16-	5	-1.00
5/16	H	Grand Island	17-	3	0.28
5/22	A	Canisius	17-	5	-2.00
5/29	H	Williamsville South	17-	0	-0.48
10-goal correction: -0.36

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	99.		Natl CCR Rank	58
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	98.57		Natl Power Rank	45
Natl SOS Rating	84.87		Natl SOS Rank	251
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.65		Natl Quality Win Rank	466
W-L Pct Rating	0.91		W-L Pct Rank	60
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	21-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	9.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	6-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	7.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	12-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	9.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.0


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