| Conference: SCIAC | Region: CT L | State: CT | Coach: Chris Smalkais |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/02 | H | Amity Regional | 15- | 3 | 12 | 10 | + | -1.20 | 2.48 | |
4/05 | H | Newtown | 18- | 6 | 12 | 7 | ++ | -1.20 | 4.60 | |
4/09 | H | Mamaroneck | 18- | 4 | 14 | 9 | ++ | -1.14 | | 4.61 |
4/12 | H | Greenwich HS | 11- | 12 | -1 | 1 | | -1.20 | -1.81 | |
4/15 | A | Glastonbury | 15- | 8 | 7 | 4 | + | 1.20 | 2.96 | |
4/19 | H | St Anthony's | 9- | 12 | -3 | -1 | | -0.61 | | -1.71 |
4/24 | A | Branford | 15- | 6 | 9 | 11 | – | 1.20 | -2.20 | |
4/26 | A | Chaminade | 3- | 7 | -4 | -2 | | 0.61 | | -1.55 |
4/29 | H | Daniel Hand-Madison | 10- | 5 | 5 | 9 | – | -1.20 | -3.85 | |
5/01 | A | Hamden | 16- | 6 | 10 | 13 | – | 1.20 | -3.30 | |
5/02 | A | New Canaan | 15- | 7 | 8 | 2 | +++ | 1.20 | 6.30 | |
5/06 | H | Cheshire HS | 8- | 5 | 3 | 8 | –– | -1.20 | -5.09 | |
5/07 | H | Xavier | 20- | 10 | 10 | 11 | | -1.20 | -0.56 | |
5/12 | A | Guilford | 11- | 6 | 5 | 7 | – | 1.20 | -2.27 | |
5/13 | H | Simsbury | 7- | 9 | -2 | 5 | ––– | -1.20 | -6.90 | |
5/15 | H | Brewster | 14- | 9 | 5 | 1 | ++ | -1.14 | | 4.49 |
5/20 | H | Hamden | 19- | 5 | 14 | 16 | | -1.20 | -1.70 | |
5/22 | N | Amity Regional | 14- | 5 | 9 | 8 | | 0.00 | 0.68 | |
5/27 | N | Cheshire HS | 15- | 4 | 11 | 7 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.11 | |
5/31 | H | Cheshire HS | 11- | 9 | 2 | 8 | ––– | -1.20 | -6.09 | |
6/03 | A | Newtown | 12- | 2 | 10 | 5 | ++ | 1.20 | 5.00 | |
6/05 | N | Simsbury | 16- | 5 | 11 | 4 | +++ | 0.00 | 7.30 | |
6/07 | N | Ridgefield | 15- | 14 | 1 | 1 | | 0.00 | 0.33 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 5.83 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/02 | H | Amity Regional | 15- | 3 | -2.48 |
4/05 | H | Newtown | 18- | 6 | -2.00 |
4/09 | H | Mamaroneck | 18- | 4 | -4.00 |
5/01 | A | Hamden | 16- | 6 | 3.30 |
5/07 | H | Xavier | 20- | 10 | 0.56 |
5/20 | H | Hamden | 19- | 5 | 1.70 |
5/27 | N | Cheshire HS | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
6/03 | A | Newtown | 12- | 2 | 0.00 |
6/05 | N | Simsbury | 16- | 5 | -1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.21 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 193. | | Natl CCR Rank | 47 |
| Natl Poll Vote | 96. | | Natl Poll Rank | 40 |
| Natl Power Rating | 97.36 | | Natl Power Rank | 104 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 84.75 | | Natl SOS Rank | 254 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 1.43 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 111 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.83 | | W-L Pct Rank | 199 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 19-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 0.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 4-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 4.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 13-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 6.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 3-0 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 7.3 |
| 
