Episcopal Academy Churchmen (14-12)

Region: PA IACState: PACoach: Andy Hayes

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/14at McDonogh (16-6)MD A MIAA99.0L5- 7 -0.150  
3/15at Archbishop Spalding (9-8)MD A MIAA95.7L5- 8 -0.250  
3/18at Bishop Shanahan (9-9)PA Suburb93.7W12- 4 0.125  
3/20at Penncrest (11-10)PA Centrl95.7W10- 6 0.225  
3/25at Downingtown West (9-12)PA Suburb94.3W8- 5 0.200  
3/27at Radnor (11-11)PA Centrl95.9W6- 4 0.225  
3/29at St Joseph's Prep (22-5)PA Cathol97.17W7- 6 0.225  
4/01at LaSalle College HS (31-2)PA Cathol99.71L3-12 -0.150  
4/04at Conestoga (14-8)PA Centrl96.9L3-11 -0.225  
4/08at Malvern Prep (21-3)PA IAC99.32L3-14 -0.050  
4/15HAVERFORD SCHOOL (17-7)PA IAC98.13L2- 5 -0.200  
4/17at Germantown Academy (13-7)PA IAC97.010L5- 62ot-0.225  
4/19CARDINAL O'HARA (7-15)PA Cathol89.1W19- 2 0.000  
4/22at Chestnut Hill Academy (4-17)PA IAC89.7W16- 7 0.025  
4/24MALVERN PREP (21-3)PA IAC99.32L3-13 -0.125  
4/26vs. Lower Merion # (17-5)PA Centrl97.09L4- 7 -0.275  
4/29at Penn Charter (16-12)PA IAC97.18W8- 7ot0.275  
5/01UPPER DUBLIN (12-8)PA SubAmer92.7W12- 2 0.025  
5/03GERMANTOWN ACADEMY (13-7)PA IAC97.010L3- 5 -0.300  
5/06at Haverford School (17-7)PA IAC98.13L3- 4 -0.150  
5/10at Friends Central (10-8)PA Noeast91.2W17- 3 0.000  
5/13PENN CHARTER (16-12)PA IAC97.18W5- 4 0.225  
5/14HILL SCHOOL (11-5)PA Indep96.1W12- 4 0.100  
5/17CHESTNUT HILL ACADEMY (4-17)PA IAC89.7W17- 2 0.000  
5/21UNIONVILLE (11-10)PA Suburb94.9W16- 3 0.125  
5/23at Downingtown East (14-7)PA Suburb97.55L6-13 -0.175  
# Neutral site 91.1     -0.50  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/14AMcDonogh5-7-2   -4       1.36       1.81
3/15AArchbishop Spalding5-8-3   0       –1.36       -2.56
3/18ABishop Shanahan12-48   5       +1.27       2.88
3/20APenncrest10-64   1       +1.27       2.60
3/25ADowningtown West8-53   2       1.27       0.70
3/27ARadnor6-42   1       1.27       1.00
3/29ASt Joseph's Prep7-61   1       1.27       0.45
4/01ALaSalle College HS3-12-9   -4       ––1.27       -5.11
4/04AConestoga3-11-8   -1       –––1.27       -6.77
4/08AMalvern Prep3-14-11   -8       –1.27       -3.33
4/15HHaverford School2-5-3   -2       -1.27       -1.42
4/17AGermantown Academy5-6-1   -1       1.27       -0.23
4/19HCardinal O'Hara19-217   15       -1.27       1.59
4/22AChestnut Hill Academy16-79   9       1.27       0.10
4/24HMalvern Prep3-13-10   -5       ––-1.27       -4.87
4/26NLower Merion4-7-3   1       –0.00       -3.91
4/29APenn Charter8-71   -1       +1.27       2.25
5/01HUpper Dublin12-210   9       -1.27       1.38
5/03HGermantown Academy3-5-2   2       –-1.27       -3.77
5/06AHaverford School3-4-1   -4       +1.27       3.12
5/10AFriends Central17-314   10       +1.27       3.65
5/13HPenn Charter5-41   1       -1.27       -0.28
5/14HHill School12-48   6       +-1.27       2.39
5/17HChestnut Hill Academy17-215   11       +-1.27       3.57
5/21HUnionville16-313   5       +++-1.27       7.57
5/23ADowningtown East6-13-7   -3       –1.27       -3.57
         0.00-0.75

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/08AMalvern Prep3-141.00
4/19HCardinal O'Hara19-2-1.59
4/24HMalvern Prep3-130.00
5/01HUpper Dublin12-20.00
5/10AFriends Central17-3-3.65
5/17HChestnut Hill Academy17-2-3.57
5/21HUnionville16-3-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.42

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 97.   Natl CCR Rank 143
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 96.58   Natl Power Rank 142
Natl SOS Rating 89.32   Natl SOS Rank 116
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.50   Natl Quality Win Rank 2320
W-L Pct Rating 0.54   W-L Pct Rank 1190
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 14-12   Ave Goal diff (all ) 1.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -6.8
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-9   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 4-10   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -3.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 7.0



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