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Deerfield Big Green (15-1)

Conference: FND

Region: NE 1 West

State: MA

Coach: Chip Davis

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/29	at Brunswick School (8-8)	NE 1 West	93.6	7	W	13-	8		0.150
4/05	at Westminster School (7-7)	NE 1 West	92.5	8	W	14-	9		0.125
4/07	SOUTH HADLEY (4-14)	MA 2	86.4		W	16-	1		0.000
4/09	at Kimball Union (7-7)	NE East-1	93.1		W	17-	2		0.100
4/12	at Choate (7-8)	NE 1 West	92.2	9	W	12-	7		0.100
4/16	LONGMEADOW (21-2)	MA 2	98.2		W	10-	6		0.200
4/19	TAFT SCHOOL (4-10)	NE 1 West	90.3		W	11-	4		0.075
4/23	at Loomis Chaffee (11-5)	NE 1 West	96.4	4	W	12-	9		0.175
4/26	PHILLIPS ANDOVER (10-5)	NE East-1	95.7		W	12-	5		0.150
4/30	BERKSHIRE SCHOOL (6-8)	NE 2 West	91.4		W	9-	5		0.050
5/03	HOTCHKISS (7-6)	NE 1 West	95.5	5	W	7-	6		0.200
5/07	at Kent School (7-9)	NE 1 West	91.3		W	13-	5		0.075
5/10	at Avon Old Farms (11-5)	NE 1 West	95.4	6	L	8-	9		-0.325
5/14	SALISBURY SCHOOL (12-4)	NE 1 West	97.7	3	W	12-	6		0.225
5/17	at Phillips Exeter (13-4)	NE East-1	97.1		W	10-	7		0.200
5/19	at Northfield Mt Hermon (5-11)	NE 1 West	91.3	10	W	12-	8		0.100
			94.1						1.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/29	A	Brunswick School	13-	8	5	4		0.32	1.36
4/05	A	Westminster School	14-	9	5	5		0.32	0.16
4/07	H	South Hadley	16-	1	15	13		-0.76		1.53
4/09	A	Kimball Union	17-	2	15	6	+++	0.33		9.28
4/12	A	Choate	12-	7	5	6		0.32	-1.01
4/16	H	Longmeadow	10-	6	4	2	+	-0.76		2.34
4/19	H	Taft School	11-	4	7	7		-0.32	-0.25
4/23	A	Loomis Chaffee	12-	9	3	3		0.32	0.35
4/26	H	Phillips Andover	12-	5	7	4	+	-0.33		3.24
4/30	H	Berkshire School	9-	5	4	8	–	-0.16		-3.91
5/03	H	Hotchkiss	7-	6	1	2		-0.32	-1.34
5/07	A	Kent School	13-	5	8	7		0.32	1.49
5/10	A	Avon Old Farms	8-	9	-1	3	–	0.32	-3.95
5/14	H	Salisbury School	12-	6	6	1	++	-0.32	5.47
5/17	A	Phillips Exeter	10-	7	3	2		0.33		1.31
5/19	A	Northfield Mt Hermon	12-	8	4	6	–	0.32	-2.27
									0.00	13.79

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/07	H	South Hadley	16-	1	-1.53
4/09	A	Kimball Union	17-	2	-5.00
10-goal correction: -0.41

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	196.		Natl CCR Rank	21
Natl Poll Vote	97.		Natl Poll Rank	21
Natl Power Rating	99.15		Natl Power Rank	20
Natl SOS Rating	96.22		Natl SOS Rank	15
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	84
W-L Pct Rating	0.94		W-L Pct Rank	48
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-1		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	2.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	7-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	3.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.3

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