High School Computer Ratings

Carlisle Thundering Herd (14-7)

Region: PA Mid 1

State: PA

Coach: Steve Kidder

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/18	at St James (6-10)	DC MAC	82.8		W	5-	3	0.100
3/20	at St Johns Catholic Prep (17-5)	MD C MIAA	89.0		W	5-	0	0.250
3/25	SUSQUEHANNOCK (19-1)	PA York 1	95.8	1	L	2-	8	-0.100
3/29	at Southern Lehigh (11-5)	PA PVLL-LV	93.5		L	1-	6	-0.125
4/01	at Harrisburg Academy (1-14)	PA Mid 1	74.9		W	10-	1	0.000
4/05	at Palmyra (9-9)	PA Mid 1	83.1		W	9-	5	0.125
4/08	WARWICK (17-6)	PA LL04	93.4	3	L	6-	8	-0.175
4/11	at Manheim Township (19-9)	PA LL04	94.9	2	L	4-	12	-0.125
4/14	BISHOP MCDEVITT (4-12)	PA Mid 1	78.5		W	14-	2	0.000
4/16	MERCERSBURG ACADEMY (2-12)	PA Indep	86.8		W	7-	2	0.150
4/18	at O'Neill (12-5)	NY C Sec 9	77.7		W	14-	6	0.000
4/22	at Lower Dauphin (6-10)	PA Mid 1	81.3		W	7-	2	0.075
4/25	CUMBERLAND VALLEY (14-5)	PA Mid 1	92.6	4	L	5-	6	-0.175
4/29	CENTRAL DAUPHIN (7-9)	PA Mid 1	82.6		W	10-	5	0.075
5/02	at Hempfield (13-12)	PA LL04	92.2	5	L	9-	10	-0.100
5/06	CENTRAL DAUPHIN EAST (0-14)	PA Mid 1	71.9		W	12-	4	0.000
5/13	at Chambersburg (13-6)	PA Mid 1	88.2	10	W	9-	8	0.225
5/15	HERSHEY (9-7)	PA Mid 1	84.4		W	9-	4	0.150
5/21	LAMPETER-STRASBURG (18-7)	PA LL04	91.7	6	W	13-	10	0.325
5/23	at Lewisburg (10-8)	PA CSNLL	79.3		W	17-	5	0.000
5/28	at Manheim Township (19-9)	PA LL04	94.9	2	L	5-	7	-0.125
			85.9					0.55

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/18	A	St James	5-	3	2	6	–	1.01		-3.67
3/20	A	St Johns Catholic Prep	5-	0	5	0	++	0.44		4.92
3/25	H	Susquehannock	2-	8	-6	-6		-0.28	0.28
3/29	A	Southern Lehigh	1-	6	-5	-5		0.77		-0.28
4/01	A	Harrisburg Academy	10-	1	9	12	–	0.28	-3.44
4/05	A	Palmyra	9-	5	4	5		0.28	-1.41
4/08	H	Warwick	6-	8	-2	-3		-0.28	0.88
4/11	A	Manheim Township	4-	12	-8	-5	–	0.28	-2.87
4/14	H	Bishop McDevitt	14-	2	12	10	+	-0.28	2.24
4/16	H	Mercersburg Academy	7-	2	5	4		-0.77		1.49
4/18	A	O'Neill	14-	6	8	11	–	0.59		-3.17
4/22	A	Lower Dauphin	7-	2	5	7	–	0.28	-2.11
4/25	H	Cumberland Valley	5-	6	-1	-3		-0.28	1.96
4/29	H	Central Dauphin	10-	5	5	7		-0.28	-1.90
5/02	A	Hempfield	9-	10	-1	-6	++	0.28	4.72
5/06	H	Central Dauphin East	12-	4	8	17	–––	-0.28	-8.81
5/13	A	Chambersburg	9-	8	1	1		0.28	0.12
5/15	H	Hershey	9-	4	5	4		-0.28	0.94
5/21	H	Lampeter-Strasburg	13-	10	3	-3	++	-0.28	5.65
5/23	A	Lewisburg	17-	5	12	11		0.28	0.63
5/28	A	Manheim Township	5-	7	-2	-5	+	0.28	3.13
									0.00	-0.72