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North Tonawanda Lumberjacks (0-14)

Region: NY A Sec 6State: NY

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/27at Medina (8-8)NY C Sec 681.2L2-16 0.000  
4/04at Williamsville East (9-10)NY B Sec 684.9L0-13 0.000  
4/20AKRON (10-9)NY C Sec 681.5L5-21 0.000  
4/23FRONTIER (14-5)NY A Sec 693.54L1-17 0.000  
4/25JAMESTOWN (2-14)NY A Sec 672.1L7- 8 -0.200  
4/27at West Seneca West (6-11)NY A Sec 682.3L2-18 0.000  
5/01at Williamsville North (11-8)NY A Sec 690.08L0-19 0.000  
5/03ORCHARD PARK (16-5)NY A Sec 697.31L0-24 0.000  
5/05at Clarence (11-8)NY A Sec 687.0L2-21 0.000  
5/09at Niagara Wheatfield (16-3)NY A Sec 696.32L0-22 0.000  
5/11LOCKPORT (6-12)NY A Sec 678.2L2-15 -0.025  
5/15at Lancaster (7-9)NY A Sec 684.8L3-18 0.000  
5/17at Lockport (6-12)NY A Sec 678.2L1-15 0.000  
5/23at Lockport (6-12)NY A Sec 678.2L3-20 0.000  
 85.7     -0.23  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/27AMedina2-16-14   -14       1.39       0.30
4/04AWilliamsville East0-13-13   -17       +1.39       3.76
4/20HAkron5-21-16   -12       –-1.39       -3.94
4/23HFrontier1-17-16   -20       ++-1.39       4.34
4/25HJamestown7-8-1   -2       -1.39       0.51
4/27AWest Seneca West2-18-16   -15       1.39       -0.87
5/01AWilliamsville North0-19-19   -21       1.39       1.50
5/03HOrchard Park0-24-24   -25       -1.39       1.40
5/05AClarence2-21-19   -18       1.39       -1.02
5/09ANiagara Wheatfield0-22-22   -27       ++1.39       4.78
5/11HLockport2-15-13   -9       ––-1.39       -4.45
5/15ALancaster3-18-15   -17       +1.39       2.03
5/17ALockport1-15-14   -11       –1.39       -2.67
5/23ALockport3-20-17   -11       ––1.39       -5.67
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/27AMedina2-16-0.30
4/04AWilliamsville East0-13-3.76
4/20HAkron5-213.94
4/23HFrontier1-17-4.34
4/27AWest Seneca West2-180.87
5/01AWilliamsville North0-19-1.50
5/03HOrchard Park0-24-1.40
5/05AClarence2-211.02
5/09ANiagara Wheatfield0-22-4.78
5/11HLockport2-153.00
5/15ALancaster3-18-2.03
5/17ALockport1-152.67
5/23ALockport3-205.67
10-goal correction: -0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 70.   Natl CCR Rank 2453
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 69.81   Natl Power Rank 2453
Natl SOS Rating 80.55   Natl SOS Rank 834
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.23   Natl Quality Win Rank 1745
W-L Pct Rating 0.00   W-L Pct Rank 2642
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 0-14   Ave Goal diff (all ) -15.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -20.7
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -20.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -18.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -15.3



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